The Allied People's Movement predicts President Bola Tinubu will lose the 2027 [1] presidential election to Governor Seyi Makinde.
The prediction follows the governorship election held this past Saturday in Osun State. The movement said the local result serves as a bellwether for national sentiment regarding the All Progressives Congress (APC).
According to the APM, the outcome of the Osun poll indicates a growing rejection of the APC. The group said the result is a warning sign for the re-election prospects of President Tinubu in 2027 [1].
The movement pointed to the specific dynamics of the Osun State vote as evidence that the current administration's hold on power is weakening. While the APC remains a dominant force in Nigerian politics, the APM said Governor Makinde has emerged as a viable challenger for the presidency.
This assessment comes as political factions begin to analyze regional voting patterns ahead of the next general election cycle. The APM said the shift in Osun State reflects a broader trend of dissatisfaction that could manifest across other states in 2027 [1].
The movement maintains that the victory in the local poll demonstrates a shift in voter loyalty. It said the results show that the APC is losing its grip on key constituencies, a trend the APM believes will culminate in a defeat for the president during the next national contest.
“The Allied People's Movement predicts President Bola Tinubu will lose the 2027 presidential election.”
The APM's claim highlights the volatility of regional politics in Nigeria and the tendency for governorship races to be viewed as proxies for presidential viability. By positioning Governor Makinde as a primary threat to President Tinubu, the APM is signaling a potential realignment of opposition forces ahead of the 2027 cycle.
