Mexico's daily average of intentional homicides has fallen by 49% since October 2024, according to Security Secretary Omar García Harfuch [1].
This decline represents a significant shift in national security trends for a country long struggling with systemic violence. The reduction is attributed to the security strategy implemented during the administration of President Claudia Sheinbaum [1].
García Harfuch said the daily average now stands at 52 homicides [1]. This figure marks the lowest level of daily killings recorded in 10 years [1]. While some reports suggest the national reduction is up to 45% [5], the Security Secretary's data indicates a drop of nearly half [1].
Regional data shows varying levels of success. In Baja California, homicides decreased by 45% between 2024 and 2025 [3]. Other reports noted a 37% decrease highlighted by President Sheinbaum [4].
The current strategy focuses on coordinated efforts to dismantle criminal networks and improve intelligence. The administration views these metrics as evidence that their approach to public safety is yielding results across the country [1].
Officials have not detailed the specific operational changes that led to the 49% drop, but the trend persists across multiple states. The government said the current average of 52 deaths per day is a milestone in the effort to stabilize the region [1].
“The daily average now stands at 52 homicides.”
The reported drop in homicides suggests a potential pivot in the effectiveness of Mexico's federal security strategy. If these numbers are verified, it indicates that the Sheinbaum administration has managed to curb the volatility of gang warfare more effectively than previous iterations of the 'war on drugs.' However, the discrepancy between 37% and 49% in different reports highlights the complexity of tracking crime data in a decentralized security environment.
