Oil prices rose between two percent [2] and three percent [1] in early trading Monday as Israel ordered troops to move further into Lebanon.

The price surge reflects growing investor anxiety over geopolitical instability in the Middle East. The combination of a deepening ground incursion and direct military friction between global powers threatens to disrupt energy supply chains.

Israeli forces advanced further into Lebanese territory as part of their ongoing conflict with Hezbollah. This escalation comes despite a ceasefire that was announced more than six weeks ago [3]. The move has heightened the risk of a broader regional war, a scenario that typically drives up the cost of crude oil.

Adding to the market volatility are fresh strike exchanges between the U.S. and Iran. Traders are monitoring these developments closely, as any significant escalation involving Iran could impact the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint for global oil shipments.

Market data from Monday morning showed oil prices climbing more than two percent [2] in some reports, while other trackers indicated the increase exceeded three percent [1]. The disparity in figures reflects the rapid fluctuations of early trading sessions as news of the troop movements broke.

Energy analysts said that the intersection of the Israel-Lebanon border conflict and U.S.-Iran tensions creates a compounding effect on price volatility. The market is currently pricing in a higher risk premium due to the uncertainty of the ceasefire's collapse and the potential for further military strikes.

Oil prices rose between 2% and 3% in early trading Monday

The volatility in oil prices indicates that markets no longer view the previous ceasefire as a guarantee of stability. By factoring in both the Israeli ground advance and the US-Iran strike exchanges, investors are hedging against a systemic regional escalation that could threaten global energy security and fuel inflation.