One Nation has launched its Victorian election campaign, warning the Labor and Liberal parties not to join forces in the upcoming race [1].

The move positions the party as a serious contender in a three-way contest, challenging the traditional dominance of the two major political parties in Victoria [1, 2].

Senator Pauline Hanson and state leader Warren Pickering led the campaign kickoff, framing the race as a fierce battle for voters [1, 3]. The party is positioning itself as a viable alternative to the established political order ahead of the state election scheduled for November 2026 [4].

Recent polling indicates a tight race among the three primary contenders. One Nation holds a primary vote of 27% [5], placing it slightly ahead of both the Labor Party and the Liberal Coalition, which each hold 26% [4].

With less than five months remaining until the election [4], the party is focusing on mobilizing its base and presenting its leadership as a challenge to the status quo. The campaign strategy emphasizes that the major parties should not assume a consolidated front against the populist surge [1, 2].

One Nation has also revealed its upper house candidates as part of the broader strategy to increase its legislative influence in the state [3]. The party aims to leverage its current polling momentum to secure a significant presence in the Victorian parliament.

“One Nation holds a primary vote of 27%”

The emergence of One Nation as a leading force in primary polling suggests a significant shift in the Victorian political landscape. If the party maintains this momentum, it could act as a kingmaker in the upper house or force the major parties to pivot their platforms to recapture populist-leaning voters, potentially ending the traditional two-party dominance in the state.