A Datafolha poll released in June 2026 shows that 24% [1] of Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's voters identify as right-wing.
This data suggests a significant ideological shift or crossover in the Brazilian electorate as the country prepares for the 2026 presidential election. The findings indicate that neither candidate maintains a monolithic ideological base, which may influence campaign strategies and coalition building.
The survey specifically compared the ideological leanings of supporters for Lula (PT) and Flávio Bolsonaro (PL-RJ). While Lula's base includes a notable percentage of right-wing identifiers, the poll found that 19% [2] of Flávio Bolsonaro's voters identify as left-wing.
These numbers highlight a trend of ideological fluidity among Brazilian voters. The Datafolha survey aimed to map how voters distribute across the political spectrum regardless of their preferred candidate. The results show that Lula's appeal extends further into the right-wing demographic than Bolsonaro's appeal extends into the left.
Political analysts said such crossovers are indicators of pragmatic voting, where voters prioritize specific leadership qualities or economic outcomes over strict ideological alignment. The gap between the 24% [1] of right-wing Lula supporters and the 19% [2] of left-wing Bolsonaro supporters underscores a distinct asymmetry in how these two political figures attract voters outside their primary ideological camps.
“24% of Lula's voters identify as right-wing”
The presence of significant ideological crossovers suggests that the 2026 election may not be a simple binary struggle between the left and right. The fact that Lula attracts more right-wing voters than Bolsonaro attracts left-wing voters could indicate a broader appeal for the current administration's policies or a fragmentation of the traditional right-wing bloc.
