Foreign-policy expert Mark Dubowitz said Iranians need to fear the United States to avoid a catastrophic escalation in the region [1].
The warning comes as the U.S. and Iran negotiate a possible cease-fire and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, a critical global shipping lane. The outcome of these talks could determine whether regional tensions subside or lead to further military conflict.
Dubowitz, the CEO of the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, said the remarks during a June 2026 interview on Fox News’ “America Reports” program [1]. He analyzed the current developments regarding a purported cease-fire and the continued U.S. pressure on Iran's regional and nuclear activities [1].
According to reports from May 24, 2026, U.S. officials said the United States is close to a deal with Iran to end the war and reopen the Strait of Hormuz [2]. However, Dubowitz suggested that maintaining a position of strength is essential for a lasting resolution. He said, "Iranians need to fear the United States if they want to avoid a catastrophic escalation" [1].
Other experts have cautioned that Iran may be using diplomatic maneuvers to manipulate the timeline of negotiations. These unnamed experts said Iran's "nuclear double-talk" is designed to buy time and undermine U.S. pressure [3].
Despite the ongoing negotiations, the stability of a potential cease-fire remains a point of contention among analysts. While Dubowitz noted that the U.S. retains leverage in these talks, other reports indicate volatility in Tehran, suggesting a stable agreement may not yet be in place [1].
“"Iranians need to fear the United States if they want to avoid a catastrophic escalation."”
The tension between diplomatic efforts and the strategy of 'maximum pressure' highlights a fundamental disagreement on how to handle Iran. While a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz would alleviate global economic pressure, the warning from Dubowitz suggests that any agreement lacking a credible threat of U.S. force may be viewed by Tehran as an opportunity to stall for time rather than a genuine commitment to peace.
