Financial analysts are proposing that the U.S. economy is now better described as a "Pac-Man" economy rather than the previously utilized K-shaped model [1].
This shift in terminology reflects a changing landscape where traditional markers of economic divergence are being reshaped by new technological investments and consumer behavior. Understanding these dynamics helps investors and policymakers identify which sectors are driving growth and which are being left behind.
During an episode of Trader Talk, host Kenny Polcari discussed the concept with guests Ali Furman, head of PwC Consumer Markets, and Aadil Zaman, a partner at Wall Street Alliance Group [1]. Polcari said, "We should forget the K-shaped economy; it's a Pac-Man economy" [2].
The analysts argued that the old K-shape model no longer fits the current environment. This is attributed to a combination of consumer resilience and the rapid acceleration of artificial intelligence spending [1]. Furman said AI spending is accelerating and reshaping businesses, which is why the previous model is obsolete [2].
Data suggests the U.S. economy appeared resilient in early 2026 [3]. However, this resilience exists alongside long-term trends of instability. Some reports indicate the gap between economic classes has been widening since 2020 [4].
The "Pac-Man" description is not the only emerging theory to replace the K-shape. Other financial analysts have offered different interpretations of the current economic structure. Some sources describe the situation as a "barbell economy" [5], while others characterize it as an "E-shaped economy" [6].
Despite these differing labels, the core of the debate centers on how wealth and growth are distributed across the population. The move toward a Pac-Man model suggests a specific type of consumption and investment pattern, driven largely by AI, that differs from the divergence seen in the early 2020s.
“"We should forget the K-shaped economy; it's a Pac-Man economy."”
The transition from 'K-shaped' to 'Pac-Man,' 'Barbell,' or 'E-shaped' terminology indicates that the post-pandemic economic recovery has entered a new phase. While the K-shape highlighted a simple divergence between winners and losers, these new models attempt to account for the disruptive impact of AI and a complex layer of consumer resilience that defies traditional recessionary signals.





