A new Sky News Pulse poll shows One Nation matching or overtaking the Australian Labor Party and the Liberal Party in primary-vote percentages [1].
The results signal a potential shift in the Australian political landscape, suggesting a significant erosion of support for the two dominant political parties. This surge comes as voters express growing frustration with the current political establishment.
Reports on the polling data vary slightly. One report said that One Nation and Labor are level, with both parties holding 27% of the primary vote [3]. However, Sky News host Andrew Bolt said the polling shows One Nation leading Labor with 31% compared to 28% [0].
Bolt said the result was a "catastrophic" outcome for the government led by Prime Minister Anthony Albanese (Labor) [0]. He said the shift occurred after voters revolted against the government's budget [0].
This rise follows a period of relative stability for the party. In the 2025 federal election, One Nation held a national vote share of 6.4% [2]. The current figures represent a sharp increase from that baseline, a trend some analysts describe as a humiliation for the major parties [1].
Commentary surrounding the poll suggests the results are driven by a broader sense of disgust with politics [0]. The data indicates that a significant portion of the electorate is seeking alternatives to the traditional power structures in Canberra [1].
“One Nation leading even Labor in primary votes, and it's not even close.”
The discrepancy between 27% and 31% in the reporting highlights the volatility of the current polling cycle, but both figures represent a massive departure from One Nation's 6.4% share in the 2025 election. If these trends hold, it suggests that the Albanese government's fiscal policies have created a vacuum of support that a right-wing populist platform is now filling, potentially forcing a realignment of the primary-vote distribution in Australia.
