Business intentions at the Agrishow trade show are projected to fall 22% [1] to R$ 11.4 billion [2] in 2026.

This downturn indicates a tightening of capital within the agricultural sector, signaling a potential slowdown in the modernization of farming infrastructure. As producers face higher costs, the ripple effect may impact equipment manufacturers and financial lenders across the region.

The decline follows the 2025 edition of the trade show. Analysts said the restrained performance is due to a combination of rising credit costs and increased expenses related to field operations [1]. These financial pressures have led to a more cautious approach among buyers and investors.

The impact is most visible in the agricultural machinery, irrigation, and storage segments [1]. These sectors typically rely on heavy capital investment and long-term financing, making them highly sensitive to interest rate fluctuations and operational overhead.

Industry data suggests that the reduction in business intentions reflects a broader trend of financial restraint. The drop to R$ 11.4 billion [2] marks a significant departure from previous growth trajectories seen in earlier editions of the event.

While the trade show continues to serve as a primary hub for agricultural commerce, the 22% [1] decrease highlights the precarious nature of the current economic climate for producers. The shift toward more restrained spending suggests that the cost of borrowing has reached a threshold that discourages expansion.

Business intentions are projected to fall 22% to R$ 11.4 billion in 2026.

The projected decline in business intentions at Agrishow suggests that the agricultural sector is entering a period of consolidation or stagnation. When credit costs rise and operational expenses increase, producers prioritize immediate liquidity over long-term capital investments in machinery and storage. This trend could lead to a slowdown in agricultural productivity growth if producers are unable to upgrade to more efficient technologies due to financial constraints.