Exit polls predict a decisive victory for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) in the 2026 Assam Assembly election.

A victory of this magnitude would solidify the BJP's control over the northeastern state and potentially marginalize the opposition Congress party. The projections suggest a significant mandate that could allow the ruling alliance to implement its policy agenda without substantial legislative resistance.

According to multiple exit-poll agencies, the BJP is projected to win over 100 seats [1] in the 142-seat Assam Assembly. These projections follow the conclusion of polling in early 2026 and are based on post-poll surveys of voters. The data indicates a clear edge for the NDA over the Congress and other competing parties [2], [3].

Pollsters including C Voter, Axis My India, and Chanakya provided updates on the seat predictions [2]. While the final results are pending official counting, the current trends point toward a dominant performance by the BJP-led alliance. The scale of the projected win reflects strong voter support across various regions of the state [2], [3].

The Congress party and other regional players have struggled to match the momentum of the NDA in these surveys. The projected gap between the leading alliance and the opposition suggests a shift in the political landscape of Assam, one that favors the BJP's current strategy and leadership.

Official results will be released by the Election Commission, but these early indicators suggest the BJP will maintain a commanding majority in the state legislature [1], [2].

the BJP is projected to win over 100 seats in the 142-seat Assam Assembly

A projected win of over 100 seats would represent a significant consolidation of power for the BJP in Assam. By securing a supermajority in the assembly, the NDA can push through legislative changes and state policies with minimal opposition, further strengthening the party's influence in India's northeast region ahead of future national electoral cycles.