An exit poll predicts the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and its National Democratic Alliance (NDA) coalition will win a sweeping majority in Assam [1, 2].

The results suggest a continued consolidation of power for the BJP in northeast India. A decisive victory would solidify the coalition's legislative control and influence over regional policy ahead of the official result announcement.

According to analysis from Today's Chanakya, the BJP-NDA is projected to achieve a vote share of approximately 50% [1]. This figure carries a margin of error of ±3% [1]. The poll indicates a strong level of voter support for the alliance across the state.

Seat projections vary slightly across reports, though both indicate a landslide. One estimate places the BJP-NDA at 102 seats [1]. Another analysis predicts a broader range between 93 and 111 seats [2]. This range includes a margin of error of ±9 seats [2].

In contrast, the Congress-led combine is projected to struggle in the 2026 assembly race. The poll suggests the opposition will secure 23 seats [1]. The Congress-led group is estimated to have a vote share of 38% [1].

The predictions are based on surveyed responses from voters following the conclusion of the polling process. These figures remain projections until the election commission officially tallies and releases the final results.

“The BJP-NDA is projected to achieve a vote share of approximately 50%”

A victory of this magnitude would indicate that the BJP-NDA has maintained its grip on the Assamese electorate despite the efforts of a Congress-led coalition. By securing roughly half of the total vote share and a significant majority of seats, the alliance would possess a strong mandate to implement its legislative agenda without relying on precarious minority partnerships.