Exit polls project the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) will win a comfortable majority in the 126-seat [2] Assam Assembly.
The results would secure a third consecutive term for the BJP and Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma. A victory of this scale suggests strong voter support for the incumbent government and a preference for continuity in state leadership.
Projections indicate the BJP is likely to win between 80 and 100 seats [1], according to analysis from The Indian Express. This would provide the party with a decisive mandate in the legislative body.
The election has been framed as a direct contest between the ruling BJP and the Indian National Congress. A Business Today reporter said, "The direct contest is between the ruling BJP led by Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma and the Congress, which has projected Gaurav Gogoi as its main face."
Official vote counting is scheduled to begin across the state on Monday, May 4, 2026 [3]. The process will start at 8 a.m. IST [4].
According to the TimesNow news desk, "Counting will begin at 8 AM on Monday, 4 May 2026, across the state" [5].
These projections follow a campaign period where the BJP focused on its record of governance under Sarma. The Indian Express analysis team said, "The BJP is projected to win between 80 and 100 seats, according to exit polls, securing a comfortable majority in the 126-seat assembly" [1].
“The BJP is projected to win between 80 and 100 seats, according to exit polls.”
A projected third term for the BJP in Assam reinforces the party's dominance in Northeast India. By maintaining a significant majority in the 126-seat assembly, the Sarma administration would have the legislative strength to continue its current policy agenda without relying on fragile coalition agreements.
