Exit polls project a victory for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) in the 2026 Assam Assembly Election [1].

The results will determine if Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma (BJP) retains power or if Gaurav Gogoi (Congress) can lead a successful comeback for the opposition. This election serves as a critical gauge of political sentiment in Northeast India.

Voting for the 126 assembly constituencies [2] took place in a single phase on April 9, 2026 [3]. Election officials reported a voter turnout of 84.42 percent [2].

According to exit poll projections, the BJP is expected to secure between 85 and 95 seats [1]. The party's projected vote share stands at 45.5 percent [1].

The Indian National Congress is projected to win between 25 and 32 seats [1]. Projections place the Congress vote share at 39.8 percent [1].

Live coverage of the vote counting and results has been broadcast across several networks, including Republic World, where host Arnab Goswami tracked the real-time updates. The process focuses on the battle between the BJP's established leadership and the Congress party's attempt to regain control of the state government.

The BJP seeks to solidify its influence in the region through a second term under Sarma. Meanwhile, the Congress party has positioned Gogoi as its primary face to challenge the current administration's mandate.

“BJP projected to secure between 85 and 95 seats.”

A projected victory for the BJP would consolidate the party's hold on Assam and maintain the current political trajectory in the Northeast. The significant gap between the BJP's projected 85-95 seats and the Congress's 25-32 seats suggests a continuing trend of dominance for the ruling party, despite a competitive vote share from the opposition.