A polar cold front is bringing rain back to several Brazilian states across the southern, southeastern, and central-western regions [1].

This weather shift follows a period of dry conditions and represents a significant change in temperature and precipitation patterns for millions of residents. The arrival of the polar air mass is the primary driver for the temperature drop and the return of rainfall [1, 2].

According to meteorological agencies including Inmet and the CGE, the weather system will affect several key cities. Expected rainfall areas include Porto Alegre, Florianópolis, Campo Grande, Cuiabá, and portions of São Paulo and Rio de Janeiro [1, 3].

Reports indicate that strong rain is expected to impact five states in the center-south region [2]. While some reports suggest rain will begin as early as Thursday, other forecasts indicate the precipitation will intensify over the weekend of May 20-21, 2026 [1, 2].

The geographic scope of the event varies by report. Some data highlights four southern states as the primary areas of impact, while other reports focus specifically on the urban centers of São Paulo and Rio de Janeiro [1, 3].

This system follows previous alerts in the region. For instance, Paraná received warnings for intense rains and subsequent frosts on May 18, 2026 [4]. Earlier in the month, Alagoas experienced a period of rain from May 8-10, 2026 [5].

Residents in the affected states are advised to monitor updates from the CGE and Inmet as the polar mass continues to move across the territory [1].

A polar air mass is driving the temperature drop and precipitation.

The movement of a polar air mass into central and southern Brazil indicates a seasonal transition that can disrupt agricultural cycles and urban infrastructure. The contradiction in the timing and scope of the rainfall suggests a volatile weather system, requiring local authorities to maintain high alert levels for potential flooding or frost-related crop damage.