A Real Time Big Data poll released Tuesday shows President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) is rejected by 44% of voters [1].

These figures highlight the deep polarization of the Brazilian electorate as the country moves toward the 2026 presidential election. High rejection rates for top political figures suggest a challenging landscape for candidates attempting to build a broad consensus among the voting population.

Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) also faces significant opposition, with a rejection rate of 41% [1]. The data suggests that both the current administration and the primary opposition figures are struggling to capture a majority of the public's approval.

While the national data shows a slight gap in rejection levels, regional results vary. In the state of Tocantins, a separate poll conducted between March 23 and March 24, 2026, indicates that Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro are technically tied [2].

This regional parity contrasts with the national trend where the president's rejection rate is slightly higher. The discrepancy underscores how regional dynamics in Brazil can diverge from national polling trends, a factor that often influences campaign strategies in the interior of the country.

Real Time Big Data conducted the survey to gauge voter sentiment and rejection levels as the 2026 cycle approaches [1]. The findings indicate that neither candidate has successfully minimized their opposition base in the lead-up to the contest.

“President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) is rejected by 44% of voters.”

The narrow margin between the rejection rates of Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro indicates a stagnant political divide in Brazil. With both figures hovering around 40% rejection, the data suggests that neither the incumbent nor the Bolsonaro family has managed to pivot toward a more moderate or universally acceptable image, potentially leaving an opening for a third-party candidate to gain traction.