Political risk analyst Ian Bremmer said President Donald Trump is the greatest driver of global risk in recent commentary published earlier this month [1, 2].

Bremmer's assessment suggests that current U.S. foreign policy creates systemic instability. This perspective highlights a growing concern among analysts that aggressive diplomatic and economic strategies may lead to unpredictable international conflicts.

Bremmer drew parallels between the pressure tactics the U.S. uses toward Iran and those applied to China [1, 2]. He said these specific policies contribute to a broader environment of world turmoil [1, 2].

According to Bremmer, the administration's reliance on economic leverage and pressure as primary tools of statecraft increases risk. He said this approach destabilizes international relations by replacing traditional diplomacy with confrontational leverage [1, 2].

These views were detailed in a June 2, 2026, interview and accompanying commentary [1, 2]. Bremmer said the systemic nature of this risk extends beyond individual bilateral disputes, affecting the overall stability of the global order [1, 2].

President Donald Trump is the greatest driver of global risk

Bremmer's analysis suggests that the shift from multilateral diplomacy to unilateral pressure tactics creates a volatile global environment. By treating economic leverage as a primary weapon against both regional powers like Iran and global superpowers like China, the U.S. may be eroding the predictable frameworks that previously prevented systemic global conflict.