Andy Burnham, the former mayor of Greater Manchester, is positioned to contest a by-election in the Makerfield constituency this month.

The race is viewed as a critical juncture for the Labour Party. A victory for Burnham would provide a direct return to Westminster and potentially establish him as a viable challenger to party leader Keir Starmer following recent internal upheavals.

James Lyons, a former director of communications for Keir Starmer, said the upcoming Makerfield contest is "the mother of all by-elections" [2]. Lyons said the result could fundamentally shift the party's power dynamic if Burnham secures the seat.

"You could see a coronation if Andy Burnham wins his by-election in Makerfield and makes it down to Westminster," Lyons said [1].

The prospect of Burnham's return comes amid a period of instability for the current Labour leadership. Analysts suggest that a successful campaign in Greater Manchester would boost Burnham's standing with party members and legislators, providing the momentum necessary to challenge Starmer's position.

However, reports regarding Burnham's candidacy have shown inconsistency. While some reports indicate he is positioning himself for the race, other accounts suggest he may be out of the contest [2]. These conflicting reports have created uncertainty regarding the final candidate list for the Makerfield seat.

Despite the contradictions, the political atmosphere in the constituency remains tense. The by-election is expected to serve as a litmus test for voter sentiment in the region, and a measure of Starmer's current support within the party's heartlands.

"The upcoming Makerfield contest will be the mother of all by-elections."

The Makerfield by-election transcends a local seat contest, acting instead as a proxy battle for the future of the Labour Party. If Burnham wins, it validates his leadership appeal and creates a dual-power center within the party, potentially forcing Keir Starmer to defend his leadership more aggressively than he has in previous internal disputes.