Canadian and U.S. negotiators are holding last-minute talks to avoid a 50% tariff on billions of dollars of Canadian goods [1, 2].

The outcome of these discussions will determine the immediate cost of trade between the two neighbors and could disrupt supply chains across North America.

Prime Minister Mark Carney is engaged in negotiations with U.S. President Donald Trump to prevent the implementation of the tariffs [1]. The deadline for a deal is 12:01 a.m. Wednesday [3].

There is a discrepancy regarding the total value of the goods at risk. Some reports indicate the tariffs would impact $30 billion in Canadian goods [1], while other estimates place the figure at $20 billion [3].

While the primary goal is to avoid the 50% tariff rate [1], some negotiations have focused on specific industry concessions. Sources said officials are discussing a potential reduced tariff of 15% specifically for the automotive sector [5].

The talks involve high-level communication between Ottawa and Washington, including phone calls and direct meetings to bridge gaps before the clock runs out [1, 3].

If no agreement is reached by the midnight deadline, the U.S. is expected to move forward with the 50% import taxes [1, 4]. This move would represent a significant escalation in trade tensions between the two allies.

Negotiators race toward a midnight deadline to protect billions of dollars in Canadian exports.

The potential imposition of these tariffs signals a shift toward more aggressive trade protectionism in the U.S. If the 50% rate is applied, it would likely increase consumer prices in the U.S. and severely reduce the competitiveness of Canadian exports, potentially forcing a broader renegotiation of North American trade agreements.