The Chanakya exit poll organization predicts a landslide victory for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) in West Bengal following the conclusion of voting [1].
These projections suggest a potential realignment of power in several key Indian states, signaling a possible surge for the BJP in the east and a challenging debut for new political players in the south.
In West Bengal, the poll forecasts a "tsunami" for the BJP, projecting the party will secure 192 seats [2]. This prediction contrasts with other projections, such as those from Axis My India, which suggested a narrower majority for the BJP [1]. Additionally, while Chanakya predicts a sweep, reports from The Hindu said higher voter turnout may actually favor the Trinamool Congress [1].
In Assam, the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) is expected to maintain a strong lead [1]. The poll predicts the NDA will secure 102 seats [2] with a vote share of 50% [2]. This puts Himanta Biswa Sarma and the alliance in a position of strength as the state awaits official results [2].
Turning to Tamil Nadu, the projections indicate an advantage for the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) [1]. However, the poll also highlights a notable debut for the Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK), led by actor Vijay, suggesting the party is set to gain significant ground in the state [2].
In Kerala, the projections describe a "cliffhanger" scenario, indicating a tight race between competing factions [1]. These predictions were released on April 30, 2026 [1], one day after the final phase of voting ended at 6 p.m. on April 29 [3].
“The Chanakya exit poll organization predicts a landslide victory for the BJP in West Bengal.”
If the Chanakya projections hold true, the 192-seat forecast in West Bengal would represent a historic shift in the state's political landscape, moving it from a Trinamool Congress stronghold to a BJP-led administration. The results in Tamil Nadu would also be significant, as a strong showing for the TVK would mark the successful entry of a celebrity-led party into a region traditionally dominated by established Dravidian parties.
