Senator Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicanos) leads all first and second-round scenarios for the government of Minas Gerais, according to a Genial/Quaest poll [1].

The results indicate a shift in the political landscape of one of Brazil's most populous states. As the 2026 election cycle progresses, Azevedo's current standing suggests a consolidation of support that could challenge established political figures in the region.

The survey, released Tuesday, July 28, 2026 [2], shows Azevedo with 35% of the voting intention [1]. This figure places him ahead of his primary competitors in the race for the governorship.

Among the other candidates, Alexandre Kalil follows with 12% of the voting intention [1]. Patrus Ananias trails further behind, recording 10% in the poll [1]. The gap between the frontrunner and the nearest challenger highlights a lead for the senator.

While Azevedo maintains the lead across various scenarios, analysts have previously noted a high percentage of undecided voters in the state, a factor that could influence the final outcome as the election draws nearer.

The Genial/Quaest data provides a snapshot of voter sentiment in Minas Gerais, reflecting the current popularity of the Republican candidate over other viable options in the field [1].

“Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicanos) leads all first and second-round scenarios”

The polling data suggests a strong momentum for Cleitinho Azevedo, who is currently distancing himself from traditional rivals like Alexandre Kalil and Patrus Ananias. If these trends hold, the Republican candidate may transition from a contender to a favorite, though the presence of a significant undecided voter bloc remains the primary variable that could shift the result before the final vote.