Armed groups in Colombia have targeted presidential candidates and activists through a wave of assassinations, bombings, and threats [1, 2].

This escalation of violence threatens the democratic process and tests the stability of the national security framework during a highly polarized electoral cycle.

Conservative presidential candidate Miguel Uribe Turbay was killed during a campaign event in Bogotá [1]. His death is part of a broader pattern of attacks that have forced candidates to campaign behind bullet-proof barriers and deploy anti-drone systems [1, 2].

Beyond the capital, political and criminal violence has increased in the southwestern departments of Colombia [3, 4]. These regions are known for strong guerrilla activity, where armed groups have utilized ambushes and bomb attacks to intimidate political figures [1, 2].

Campaign workers and political activists have also been targeted by guerrillas and other armed factions [1]. These groups are seeking to influence the outcome of the electoral race and challenge the security policies of the current administration [1].

The violence has intensified in the weeks leading up to the first-round presidential election, which was scheduled for Sunday, May 27, 2025 [3, 4].

Government officials have faced pressure to secure the vote as armed groups continue to test President Gustavo Petro’s peace-with-guerrillas agenda [1]. The reported increase in violence in the southwest has been noted by the Armed Conflict Location and Event Data Project (ACLED) [4].

Conservative presidential candidate Miguel Uribe Turbay was killed during a campaign event in Bogotá

The targeting of a high-profile candidate like Miguel Uribe Turbay suggests a strategic effort by armed groups to destabilize the 2025 election. By concentrating attacks in the southwest and Bogotá, these factions are not only attempting to sway the vote, but are also challenging the viability of President Petro's peace negotiations with guerrillas.