Iván Cepeda leads the voting intention for the Colombian presidency according to a new poll by the Centro Nacional de Consultoría [1].
The results provide a snapshot of the electoral landscape as candidates vie for national support ahead of the 2024 presidential elections. The data suggests a fragmented but competitive top tier of candidates representing diverse political leanings.
The poll, conducted for Cambio magazine, utilized 2,157 interviews across Colombia [6]. According to reports citing the CNC, Cepeda holds the top position with 37.2% of the voting intention [1]. Other reports place his support slightly lower at 34% [4].
Abelardo de la Espriella follows in the rankings. One source said his support is at 20.4% [1], while another said it is at 20% [5].
Paloma Valencia also remains a top contender, though her exact ranking and percentage vary across reports. Some data places her in third position with 15.6% [1]. However, other reporting said she has risen to second place with 22% of the vote [4].
The CNC performed these measurements to provide an updated view of the electoral panorama [3]. The survey reflects a nationwide sample intended to capture the current sentiment of the Colombian electorate.
Because the reports show differing figures for the second and third positions, the exact hierarchy between de la Espriella and Valencia remains subject to the specific data set used by different publishers. The consistent factor across the reports is that these three figures continue to obtain the highest percentages of voting intention [1, 2].
“Iván Cepeda leads the voting intention for the Colombian presidency”
The discrepancy in percentages between reporting sources—specifically regarding Paloma Valencia's rank—suggests a volatile polling environment or differing interpretations of the CNC data. With Cepeda maintaining a significant lead, the primary electoral battle appears to be the struggle for the second-place position, which often dictates the momentum for coalition-building in Colombian politics.
