Ex-Federal Official Warns US May Not Win Iran Battle of Endurance

Edward Fishman, a former U.S. State Department sanctions lead, said the United States might not prevail if conflict with Iran becomes a battle of endurance.

The warning highlights the potential vulnerability of the U.S. economic and political infrastructure during a long-term confrontation. While a ceasefire currently holds, the lack of diplomatic progress suggests a precarious stability that could shift toward a prolonged war of attrition.

Fishman discussed these risks during an appearance on CBS News 24/7. He said several critical factors could erode the American advantage over time, including stalled negotiations and the fragility of global energy markets.

According to Fishman, tight energy supplies and resulting price spikes present a significant risk to the U.S. economy. He said these economic pressures, combined with the threat of a recession, could undermine the national resolve and capacity needed to sustain a long-term conflict.

"If this becomes a battle of endurance, the United States may not come out on top," Fishman said.

The former official, who previously led sanctions efforts for Russia and Europe, said the current geopolitical climate creates a volatile environment. The intersection of diplomatic failure and economic instability creates a scenario where military superiority may be offset by domestic economic strain.

Fishman's analysis suggests that the U.S. must consider the long-term economic costs of its foreign policy in the region. The risk of a recession could limit the government's ability to fund and maintain an extended military engagement without facing significant internal opposition.