Fossil Group reported a projected decline in net sales of three% to five% for 2026 during its second-quarter earnings call [1].

The forecast comes as the company attempts a strategic turnaround to stabilize its financial position. While sales are dipping, the company is prioritizing margin recovery and the generation of positive free cash flow to ensure long-term viability.

Fossil Group held the earnings call on Aug. 12, 2026 [2]. Executives said improvements in operating margins were attributed to internal turnaround efforts. Despite these gains, the company said geopolitical headwinds in Europe continue to impact performance.

For the full 2026 fiscal year, the company projects an adjusted operating margin between four% and six% [1]. This projection reflects a shift in focus toward profitability over aggressive volume growth as the brand navigates a volatile global retail environment.

The company is currently managing a transition in its product mix and distribution channels. These efforts are intended to offset the projected sales slump and move the organization toward a more sustainable cost structure.

Financial analysts are monitoring the gap between the company's margin gains and its shrinking top-line revenue. The ability to maintain an adjusted operating margin of four% to six% [1] will be critical as Fossil Group faces continued pressure from both luxury competitors and smart-watch technology.

Net sales are expected to decline by 3%–5% in 2026

Fossil Group is shifting from a growth-oriented strategy to a defensive, margin-focused approach. By accepting a modest decline in total sales to protect operating margins, the company is attempting to lean out its operations. Success depends on whether these internal efficiencies can outpace the external pressures of European geopolitical instability and a shifting consumer preference in the timepiece market.