Gold prices fell below $4,000 per ounce on Monday [1], driven by expectations that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates.

This decline reflects a shift in investor sentiment as the cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold rises when interest rates climb. The move highlights the sensitivity of precious metals to both U.S. monetary policy and geopolitical volatility affecting energy markets.

Fed Governor Christopher Waller said that policymakers may need to raise rates to combat economic pressures [1], [2]. This outlook has led spot gold to shed more than three percent since the most recent Federal Reserve meeting [2].

Market volatility was further compounded by energy sector instability. A renewed U.S. blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has increased oil-price pressure, which has weighed on gold investors [1]. The interplay between rising energy costs and tightening monetary policy created a dual headwind for the commodity.

While some market data indicated that gold previously rebounded from the $4,000 level, recent trends show the price has slipped back under that threshold [1], [2]. The market continues to react to the balance between safe-haven demand and the allure of higher yields on government bonds.

Gold prices fell below $4,000 per ounce on Monday

The drop below the $4,000 psychological threshold suggests that the threat of higher interest rates is currently outweighing the safe-haven appeal of gold, even amidst geopolitical tension in the Strait of Hormuz. If the Federal Reserve proceeds with rate hikes, gold may face further downward pressure as investors pivot toward interest-bearing assets.