Military analyst Sean Bell said a promised peace deal from President Donald Trump will not quickly end the conflict on day 102 [1] of the Iran-Israel war.
The assessment suggests that diplomatic efforts may be undermined by the strategic goals of the combatants. If Israel refuses to curtail its military operations, a comprehensive ceasefire remains unlikely despite U.S. pressure.
Bell said that the current hostilities are part of a much larger historical struggle. He said that Trump is not going to solve an 80-year war [1] in a matter of days.
The analyst highlighted a primary friction point in the negotiations: the role of Hezbollah in Lebanon. According to Bell, Israel does not want any peace agreement that limits its offensive capabilities or current operations against the group [1]. This stance creates a significant hurdle for any settlement the U.S. administration is promoting.
Other military experts have suggested the situation is further destabilized. One expert said the situation is unravelling and that Iran is more in control of the war than Trump [2].
The conflict has reached a critical phase as it enters its fourth month. The complexity of the regional alliances, including the involvement of Iran and Hezbollah, continues to complicate the path toward a sustainable resolution.
“He is not going to solve an 80-year war in a matter of days.”
The disconnect between the U.S. administration's desire for a rapid diplomatic victory and Israel's strategic objective to degrade Hezbollah suggests a prolonged conflict. By prioritizing the neutralization of proxy threats over a general ceasefire, Israel is signaling that tactical military gains outweigh the immediate political benefits of a Trump-led peace deal.
