Victorian Premier Jacinta Allan (Labor) is now the least-popular state premier in Australia according to a new poll [1, 2].
The results highlight a growing disconnect between the Victorian government and its constituency. This decline in support comes as opposition parties gain traction, potentially destabilizing the current administration's legislative agenda.
The Freshwater Strategy poll surveyed 1,034 voters [4] between Friday and Monday [5]. The data reveals that Allan's net approval rating has fallen to 39 percent [1].
Labor's primary vote has seen a sharp decline, dropping to 21 percent [1]. This represents a decrease of 16 percentage points since the 2022 election [1]. Meanwhile, support for the Coalition and One Nation has risen, further eroding the government's lead.
Public scrutiny of government spending has also intensified. Reports indicate the government of Jacinta Allan spends $16,000 per month on social-media advertising [6]. This figure is noted as being higher than the spending levels maintained by former Premier Daniel Andrews [6].
The shift in voter sentiment reflects a broader trend of dissatisfaction within Victoria. The rise of One Nation suggests that a segment of the electorate is moving toward right-wing populism as a response to the current Labor leadership.
“Jacinta Allan is now the least-popular state premier in Australia”
The steep 16-percentage-point drop in Labor's primary vote since 2022 suggests a significant erosion of the party's base in Victoria. By becoming the least-popular premier in the country, Allan faces a precarious political environment where increased spending on social-media advertising may not be enough to counter the rise of the Coalition and One Nation.
