Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank President Jeffrey Schmid said Thursday that inflation remains "stubborn and sticky" in the U.S. economy.
These remarks signal that the central bank may maintain higher interest rates for longer than markets expect to ensure price stability. If inflation does not ease, the Federal Reserve may consider further policy adjustments to cool economic activity.
Schmid said these views during a public remarks session on Aug. 27. He said that the current monetary policy is not providing the necessary pressure to bring inflation back to target levels. The lack of restriction suggests the economy is still operating at a pace that could sustain price increases.
"The policy rate is not restrictive," Schmid said. This assessment contrasts with the goal of a restrictive policy, which is intended to slow spending and investment to lower inflation.
While Schmid highlighted the persistence of inflation, he stopped short of explicitly calling for an immediate interest-rate hike. However, his comments suggest that the door remains open for such a move if data continues to show stubborn price growth.
"Current interest rates are not restraining the economy," Schmid said. This suggests a gap between the current federal funds rate and the level required to actually slow economic momentum.
Schmid's perspective adds to the ongoing debate within the Federal Reserve regarding the "neutral rate"—the interest rate that neither stimulates nor restricts economic growth. By describing the current rate as non-restrictive, Schmid implies that the current setting is either neutral or potentially stimulative.
“"Inflation is stubborn and sticky."”
Schmid's comments indicate a hawkish lean within the Federal Reserve, suggesting that the central bank may not be as close to cutting rates as some investors hope. By stating that current rates are not restrictive, he is signaling that the economy has not yet felt enough pressure to decisively break inflation, which increases the likelihood of rates remaining elevated or even rising if inflation persists.


