The United Democratic Front (UDF) alliance is projected to lead both the vote share and seat count in the 2026 Kerala Assembly elections.
These projections suggest a potential shift in power within the state, as the UDF edges out the Left Democratic Front (LDF) and the BJP+ alliance in a closely contested race.
According to data from Today's Chanakya, the UDF is projected to secure around 40% [1] of the vote share. This performance is expected to translate into 69 seats [1] in the assembly.
The LDF follows closely with a projected vote share of 38% [1] and an estimated 64 seats [1]. Meanwhile, the BJP+ alliance is projected to capture 20% [1] of the vote, which is expected to yield seven seats [1].
While the UDF holds the lead in these projections, the numbers fall just short of the majority mark in the Kerala Assembly, which is 71 seats [7]. This indicates a tight race where a few seats could determine the final outcome of the government formation.
The data reflects a competitive environment across the state, one where the UDF has gained a slight edge over its rivals.
“The UDF is projected to secure around 40% of the vote share.”
The projections indicate a highly fragmented result where no single alliance is guaranteed an outright majority. With the UDF projected at 69 seats against a majority requirement of 71, the state may face a period of intense negotiation or coalition building to form a stable government.
