Exit-poll aggregations project the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) will win 75 seats in the Kerala Assembly [1].
The results suggest a significant shift in power in the state of Kerala. If these projections hold, the UDF will end a decade of governance by the incumbent Left Democratic Front (LDF).
The projected 75 seats for the UDF would surpass the 71-seat threshold required for a majority in the 140-seat assembly [1]. This lead comes as voter sentiment appears to favor a change in leadership after 10 years of LDF administration [3, 5].
In contrast, the incumbent LDF is projected to secure 60 seats [1]. The BJP+ alliance is expected to win four seats, while other parties are projected to take a single seat [1].
These figures stem from a "poll of polls," which aggregates various exit-poll data released between April 29 and April 30, 2026 [3]. While the UDF holds a clear edge in these projections, the final outcome depends on the official vote count.
The 140-member assembly serves as the legislative body for the state. A victory for the UDF would mark a return to power for the coalition led by the Indian National Congress.
“The UDF is projected to win 75 seats, crossing the 71-seat majority mark.”
A UDF victory would signal a rejection of the LDF's long-term incumbency and a desire for a change in governance. The narrow margin between the UDF and LDF projections indicates a polarized electorate, while the low projected seat count for the BJP+ alliance suggests that the state's political landscape remains primarily a contest between the two major coalitions.
