Exit polls project the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) will win the 2026 Kerala Assembly election [1].
The results signal a potential shift in power after 10 years of rule by the Left Democratic Front (LDF). If the projections hold, the victory would represent a significant change in the political leadership of the state [1].
According to the data, the UDF is projected to secure 75 seats [2]. This exceeds the majority mark of 71 seats required to form a government in the Kerala Assembly [2].
The LDF is projected to finish in second place with approximately 60 seats [2]. The BJP-led alliance is projected to win four seats, while other parties are expected to secure one seat [2].
Analysts said the UDF is favored because voters are seeking a change after a decade of LDF governance [1]. The polls reflect a perceived shift in voter sentiment as the state prepares for the official results following the vote on May 4, 2026 [3].
The projections suggest a rout of the Pinarayi Vijayan-led LDF, ending their long tenure in power [1]. While the BJP+ alliance is projected to remain in third place, reports indicate the group has gained some ground in the region [1].
“The UDF is projected to secure 75 seats.”
A UDF victory would mark the end of a decade-long era of Left-wing dominance in Kerala. By crossing the 71-seat majority threshold, the Congress-led alliance would regain control of the state administration, reflecting a broader trend of anti-incumbency and a voter desire for leadership renewal after 10 years of the same coalition in power.
