President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) saw his government approval rating reach 48% in July, according to a Genial/Quaest poll [1].
This shift marks a critical turning point in public sentiment as approval has numerically exceeded disapproval for the first time since December 2024 [1]. The result suggests a softening of opposition among demographics that previously rejected the president's administration [1].
The survey, released between July 15 and 16, found that 48% of respondents approve of the government, while 47% disapprove [2]. This narrow margin represents a fragile but notable lead for the PT leader in a deeply polarized political climate [2].
Other data from the period presents a different picture of the president's standing. A separate AtlasIntel poll reported an approval rating of 48.7% and a disapproval rating of 50.7% [7]. This discrepancy highlights the volatility of public opinion as Brazil moves further into 2026.
Despite the conflicting figures between polling firms, the Genial/Quaest data indicates that Lula is making gains in groups that once strongly opposed him [1]. The poll results were widely reported by Brazilian outlets, including G1 and O Globo [2, 3].
"A aprovação ao governo Lula superou numericamente a desaprovação pela primeira vez desde dezembro de 2024," O Globo said [1]. This trend indicates a potential shift in the national mood as the administration continues its term.
“Approval has numerically exceeded disapproval for the first time since December 2024.”
The slight lead in approval ratings suggests a stabilization of President Lula's support base and a potential erosion of the 'rejection' wall among centrist or conservative voters. While the margin is slim and contested by other polling data, the trend indicates that the administration's current trajectory is resonating more effectively with the public than it did during the 2025 calendar year.
