Oil prices rose above $84 per barrel as traders await a deal between Iran and Oman to reopen the Strait of Hormuz [1].

The lack of an agreement threatens one of the world's most critical maritime chokepoints, creating volatility in global energy markets during a period of heightened regional tension.

Brent crude has seen a price increase of more than five% over the last three sessions [2]. Market analysts said the upward trend reflects cautious trading as diplomacy between Muscat and Tehran fails to produce a concrete timeline for reopening the strait.

Adding to the instability, Houthi militants said they carried out an attack on a Saudi refinery located near the Red Sea [3]. The group said the strike was part of a broader regional conflict. This development increases the risk of supply disruptions in both the Persian Gulf and the Red Sea corridors.

Traders are currently monitoring whether Oman can broker a resolution that satisfies Iranian demands while ensuring the safe passage of tankers. The Strait of Hormuz is essential for the transit of oil, and liquefied natural gas, making any prolonged closure a significant risk to global fuel stability [3].

Market participants said the combination of stalled diplomatic talks and active militant strikes has removed the immediate downward pressure on prices. While some analysts expect a correction if a deal is reached, the current lack of progress suggests prices will remain elevated in the short term [1].

Oil prices rose above $84 per barrel

The convergence of diplomatic failure in the Strait of Hormuz and kinetic attacks in the Red Sea creates a 'double-threat' scenario for energy security. Because the Strait of Hormuz is the primary artery for Middle Eastern oil exports, the market is pricing in a geopolitical risk premium that could persist until a verified diplomatic breakthrough occurs between Iran and Oman.