The Old Farmer's Almanac released its fall 2026 weather forecast, predicting divergent temperature and precipitation patterns across the United States [1, 2].
These projections provide a long-range seasonal outlook that affects agricultural planning and energy demand as the country prepares for the September to November period [1, 3].
The Almanac said interior U.S. regions will experience warmer-than-average temperatures and drier conditions [1, 2]. In contrast, coastal areas are expected to see cooler-than-average temperatures accompanied by wetter conditions [1, 2].
The publication broke its forecast down into 18 different U.S. regions to provide more granular detail for residents and farmers [4]. This regional approach allows the Almanac to specify how localized weather patterns may shift during the autumn months.
The forecast is based on the publication's historic forecasting methodology and the influence of a strengthening El Niño [3, 5]. The Almanac, which was founded in 1792 [6], relies on these long-term patterns to predict seasonal shifts.
Weather analysts said that the strengthening El Niño can significantly impact atmospheric circulation. This often leads to the specific temperature and moisture variances seen in the 2026 fall outlook, particularly the split between the interior and the coast [3, 5].
“Interior U.S. regions will experience warmer-than-average temperatures and drier conditions.”
The contrast between a dry interior and a wet coast suggests potential volatility for the U.S. agricultural sector. While warmer interior temperatures may extend the growing season for some crops, the drier conditions could increase drought risks. Simultaneously, the predicted wetter coastal weather may impact logistics and infrastructure in high-density port cities.
