Exit polls project the NDA alliance will win a majority in the Puducherry Assembly elections [1].

These projections suggest a continuation of the current political alignment in the Union Territory, potentially limiting the influence of opposition coalitions. The results will determine the governance of the region for the next term.

Aggregated data from agencies including Axis My India, CVoter, IPSOS, and Jan Ki Baat show a significant lead for the NDA alliance [5]. The alliance, which includes the AINRC and BJP, is projected to win 19 seats [1]. Other estimates place the NDA's projected seat count within a range of 16 to 25 [6].

A total of 16 seats are required to cross the majority threshold in the assembly [2]. If the projections hold, the NDA alliance will comfortably exceed this requirement.

The Congress-DMK alliance trails behind the leading coalition. Projections indicate the Congress-led group will secure eight seats [3]. Other political entities are expected to have a minimal presence in the assembly, with TVK+ projected to win two seats [4] and other parties projected to win one seat [5].

These poll-of-polls data were released in late April 2026 [7]. The official election results are expected on May 4, 2026 [8].

The NDA alliance is projected to win 19 seats

A victory for the NDA alliance in Puducherry would solidify the BJP and AINRC's regional stronghold, maintaining a strategic political bridge between the central government and the Union Territory. The projected gap between the NDA and the Congress-DMK coalition suggests a struggle for the opposition to gain traction in the region despite the presence of other players like TVK+.