A Quaest research institute poll shows President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva faces the highest disapproval in Paraná, São Paulo, and Goiás [1].

These findings highlight a significant geographical divide in public sentiment as Brazil looks toward the 2026 elections. The data suggests that political alignment remains deeply split between the northern and southern regions of the country.

According to the data released June 6, 2024, the president's highest levels of approval are concentrated in Pernambuco, Bahia, and Ceará [1]. The survey was conducted across 10 Brazilian states to measure public opinion on prominent political figures [1].

The research also examined the standing of other key political figures in the state of São Paulo. Results released June 29, 2024, show that Fernando Haddad has a 58% rejection rate in São Paulo [2].

In the same region, the poll found that 38% of respondents said they would not vote for Tarcísio [2]. These figures provide a snapshot of the competitive political landscape in Brazil's most populous state, a critical battleground for national leadership.

The Quaest institute said it conducted the research to assess how voters perceive current officials and potential candidates ahead of the next electoral cycle [2].

President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva faces the highest disapproval in Paraná, São Paulo, and Goiás.

The regional polarization identified in the Quaest poll underscores the enduring 'North-South' divide in Brazilian politics. While President Lula maintains a stronghold in the Northeast, the high rejection rates in the South and Southeast—particularly for Haddad in São Paulo—suggest that the administration faces significant challenges in winning over the country's economic heartland before the 2026 elections.