SpaceX shares surged 19% [1] during its debut on the Nasdaq, propelling the company to the sixth-largest market-cap ranking [2] globally.

This surge comes as global investors recalibrate their portfolios. The movement is significant because the massive amount of capital tied up in SpaceX subscriptions is expected to be refunded, potentially triggering a fresh wave of investment into other markets, including South Korea.

Yeom Seung-hwan, a director at LS Securities, said that the funds used for SpaceX subscriptions are substantial and must eventually be refunded to investors. He said that this refund capital could enter the stock market again, shifting the supply-demand dynamic from a burden to a point of expectation for the KOSPI.

Beyond the SpaceX listing, geopolitical developments are contributing to a more optimistic trading environment. Reports of a pending cease-fire agreement between the U.S. and Iran are expected to further encourage the flow of money back into the Korean stock market.

Analysts suggest that the combination of the SpaceX refund cycle and the easing of geopolitical tensions could alleviate recent concerns regarding liquidity and supply-demand imbalances on the KOSPI. The return of these "big hands"—large-scale investors—could provide the necessary momentum for a recovery in domestic equities.

"The funds that went into subscribing for SpaceX are enormous, and eventually, they have to be refunded," Yeom said. "Therefore, since the refund funds can enter the stock market anew, I think a market trend may emerge where we can have expectations rather than burdens in terms of supply and demand."

SpaceX shares surged 19% during its debut on the Nasdaq

The SpaceX IPO creates a dual-effect on global liquidity. While the company's massive valuation cements Elon Musk's financial influence, the technical process of refunding unsuccessful subscription bids creates a temporary pool of liquid capital. When combined with the stabilizing effect of U.S.-Iran cease-fire talks, this capital is likely to seek diversified returns in emerging markets like the KOSPI, potentially reversing a period of capital flight.