Republican candidate Spencer Pratt has narrowed the gap with incumbent Mayor Karen Bass in a new poll for the Los Angeles mayoral race.
The shift suggests a tightening contest in one of the largest U.S. cities, as a non-traditional candidate gains traction against an established incumbent. This surge could potentially force a runoff election if no candidate secures a majority.
The Emerson College poll, released Wednesday, May 13, 2026, shows Mayor Karen Bass leading with 26% support among likely voters [1]. Spencer Pratt now holds 22% support among likely voters [2]. This puts Pratt within a few points of the lead, moving him into second place [4].
Analysts said the rise of the former reality-TV star is due to his performance during a recent debate. His approach resonated with voters and demonstrated cross-partisan appeal on local issues [5].
While some reports indicate Bass maintains a lead, other data suggests the race has become a dead-heat between Bass, Pratt, and challenger Nithya Raman [3]. The Daily Gazette said that while Bass holds the lead, the margin is not large enough to avoid a runoff election.
Pratt's ascent is viewed by some experts as larger than the polling numbers currently reflect [1]. The competition remains fluid as the candidates continue to campaign across the city.
“Spencer Pratt now holds 22% support among likely voters”
The rise of a Republican candidate in a heavily Democratic city like Los Angeles indicates a potential shift in voter priorities toward local issues over national party affiliation. If Pratt continues to consolidate support from non-traditional voters, the race may shift from a referendum on Mayor Bass's performance to a broader debate on the city's direction.
