An exit poll predicts the Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) will win between 98 and 120 seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly [1].

The projection suggests a significant disruption to the state's political landscape by the new party founded by actor Vijay. If the results hold, TVK would emerge as a major power center against the incumbent DMK alliance.

The NDTV-Axis My India poll was broadcast on April 29, 2026 [3]. It estimates the party could secure a substantial portion of the 234 total seats available in the assembly [2]. This forecast represents a strong debut for the party, which is attempting to challenge established political dynasties in the region.

However, this projection contrasts with other industry data. Most other exit polls project a victory for the incumbent DMK alliance, positioning TVK as a challenger rather than a dominant force. Some reports indicate that Axis My India is the only pollster providing a specific seat range for TVK, while others focus on a DMK comeback.

The official election results are scheduled for release on May 4, 2026 [4]. These results will determine whether the TVK's surge is a genuine shift in voter sentiment or an outlier in polling data.

Political analysts are monitoring the impact of Vijay's celebrity status on voter turnout. The party's ability to convert popularity into legislative seats remains the central question as the state awaits the final count.

“TVK will win between 98 and 120 seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly”

The discrepancy between the NDTV-Axis My India poll and other surveys highlights the uncertainty surrounding the TVK's debut. While one projection suggests a potential landslide for the newcomer, the broader consensus points toward the incumbent DMK maintaining control, meaning the final results will either validate a new political era or confirm the resilience of the existing power structure.