An Axis My India exit poll projects that actor Vijay's Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) could win between 98 and 120 seats [1].
These projections suggest a potential disruption of the long-standing political dominance held by the DMK and AIADMK in Tamil Nadu. If the results hold, the TVK could emerge as a primary power broker in the state assembly.
The single-phase election took place on April 23, 2026 [4]. The TVK entered the race without forming an alliance with other major parties [2].
Data from the poll indicates a strong surge of support among younger and first-time voters. The party has seen particular success with female voters, who are estimated to provide a vote share of approximately 35% [3].
While the TVK shows strong momentum, other political entities continue to hold a portion of the electorate. Approximately 20% of votes are expected to go to other parties, including the BJP and the Left [5].
There is some variation in the projections. While one section of the report suggests a range of 98 to 120 seats, a poll-of-polls analysis specifically predicts the party will secure 120 seats [1].
The TVK's performance reflects a shift in voter sentiment toward a new political alternative. This movement is anchored by Vijay's celebrity appeal and a platform targeting a demographic that feels underserved by the established political axis [3].
“TVK projected to win between 98 and 120 seats”
The projected rise of the TVK signifies a volatility in Tamil Nadu's political landscape, where celebrity influence is successfully converting into electoral capital. By capturing a significant share of the youth and female vote, Vijay is challenging the traditional bipolar competition between the DMK and AIADMK, potentially forcing a move toward a more fragmented or coalition-based governance model in the state.
