Exit polls for the Tamil Nadu Assembly elections project that actor Vijay's Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) may win between 98 and 120 seats [1].
These projections suggest a significant shift in the state's political landscape. For decades, the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) and the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (AIADMK) have dominated the region, and a strong TVK showing could end this two-party era.
The TVK is positioned as a potential king-maker in the 234-seat assembly [2]. According to some projections, the party could act as a major disruptor to the established political axis [3]. This surge is attributed to Vijay's personal popularity and a growing public perception of the TVK as a viable alternative to the traditional parties [4].
However, the exit poll data remains contradictory. While some reports highlight the TVK's potential to challenge the status quo, other projections predict a landslide victory for the DMK alliance [5]. These conflicting forecasts create a range of possible outcomes ahead of the official result announcement.
Political analysts said that the contest has historically been a battle between the DMK and AIADMK [6]. The entry of Vijay into the political arena has introduced a wild-card element to the 2026 cycle [6]. Whether the TVK can translate its projected momentum into a governing role depends on the final tally of the 234 seats [2].
The state now awaits the official results to determine if the projected disruption will manifest as a new coalition, or if the DMK alliance will maintain its grip on power [5].
“TVK may win between 98 and 120 seats”
The potential rise of the TVK represents a challenge to the systemic duopoly of the DMK and AIADMK. If the higher end of the exit polls materialize, the state may move toward a fragmented assembly where no single party holds a majority, forcing a shift toward coalition politics centered around a new, celebrity-led party.
