The formation of the Tamil Nadu government remains in suspense as the Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) awaits critical support from the Viduthalai Chiruthaigal Katchi (VCK).

This political deadlock determines whether TVK chief Vijay can secure the chief minister's office or if the state will face a prolonged period of instability. The outcome depends on a single seat to reach the threshold for a majority government.

In the 2026 assembly election [5], the TVK failed to secure the 118 seats [3] required for a majority in the 234-member legislative assembly [4]. Reports on the party's exact standing vary. One source said the TVK won 108 seats [2], while another said the party currently holds 117 MLAs [1].

Because the TVK is at least one seat short of the required 118 [3], the VCK holds the balance of power. The VCK is expected to announce its position by the evening regarding whether it will back Vijay's bid to form the government [1].

The uncertainty comes amid allegations of horse-trading within the assembly [1]. These claims of political maneuvering have added tension to the proceedings as the scheduled chief minister's oath ceremony looms [1].

Vijay's transition from the film industry to the leadership of the TVK has culminated in this narrow electoral result. The party's ability to govern now rests on its capacity to negotiate a coalition, or secure the final necessary vote to reach the majority mark [1], [2].

The VCK holds the balance of power.

The current deadlock highlights the fragility of the TVK's mandate and the significant leverage held by smaller parties like the VCK. If the VCK refuses support, Vijay may be unable to form a government despite being the largest party, potentially leading to a coalition shuffle or a constitutional crisis regarding the appointment of the chief minister.