President Donald Trump is losing support among Latino, Generation Z, and working-class voters without college degrees in the U.S.
The erosion of this coalition comes at a critical juncture as the administration faces a potential shift in legislative power. If these key demographics migrate away from the president, the Republican party may struggle to maintain its majority in the upcoming elections.
Data released in April 2026 indicates that Trump's approval rating has fallen to 38 percent [1]. This decline is particularly evident among groups that were instrumental in his previous electoral successes, including non-college-educated working-class citizens and young voters.
Analysts said the president is forgetting why he won a second term [2]. They point to a combination of specific policy positions and the implementation of rising voting restrictions as primary drivers for the alienation of these voter groups [2].
These shifts are occurring approximately six and a half months before the 2026 midterm elections [2]. The timing suggests a narrowing window for the administration to address the concerns of these demographics, or pivot its messaging to regain lost ground.
While the president previously built a broad coalition of diverse socioeconomic groups, the current trend shows a fracturing of that unity. The loss of support among Latino voters is especially notable, as this group has been a focal point of the administration's outreach efforts.
Political observers said the current trajectory reflects a disconnect between the administration's current governance and the expectations of the voters who provided the mandate for a second term [2].
“Trump's approval rating has fallen to 38 percent”
The decline in support among Latino, Gen Z, and working-class voters suggests a volatility in the Republican base that could jeopardize GOP control of Congress. By alienating the very demographics that expanded the party's reach, the administration risks a realignment where the midterms become a referendum on the disconnect between the president's policy execution and his original campaign promises.
