President Donald Trump said the U.S. and Iran are very close to reaching a deal to end the Middle East conflict.

The potential agreement could significantly shift geopolitical stability in the region by addressing long-standing tensions over nuclear capabilities, and regional security.

Speaking during a press briefing in the Oval Office, Trump said that a deal was "very close" or "getting close greatly" [1, 2, 3]. He said the chances of the two nations successfully concluding an agreement were "50/50" [4].

Trump said that Iran has shown a willingness to conclude a deal [5]. According to the president, the Iranian government is willing to give up enriched uranium as part of the negotiations [6, 7]. This progression suggests a possible path toward ending the broader conflict in the Middle East [6, 7].

Despite the optimistic tone regarding negotiations, the situation remains volatile. Some reports indicate that the U.S. administration is simultaneously preparing a new series of military attacks against Iran [8]. Trump said that while a deal is very possible, he would consider bombings if the negotiations fail [9].

Earlier this year, the president expressed similar confidence in the process. In January, Trump said that Iran wanted to conclude an agreement [5]. By May 7, he said it was very possible that the two sides would reach a deal [10].

The current statements reflect a strategy of balancing high-level diplomacy with the threat of military force. While the president emphasizes that the parties are close to a resolution, the possibility of renewed hostilities remains a primary contingency plan [8, 9].

“"Nous sommes très proches de conclure un accord."”

The juxtaposition of diplomatic optimism and military preparation suggests a 'maximum pressure' strategy. By publicly stating that a deal is 50% likely while maintaining military readiness, the U.S. administration is attempting to leverage Iran's perceived desire for an agreement to secure significant concessions, specifically regarding enriched uranium, before the window for diplomacy closes.