Exit polls project the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) will win between 150 and 175 seats in the 2026 West Bengal assembly election [1].

The result would represent a significant political shift in India's east, as it suggests the potential defeat of the Trinamool Congress (TMC) led by Mamata Banerjee [1]. A victory for the BJP would dismantle the long-standing dominance of the TMC in the state assembly.

Voting for the 2026 election included a second phase that spanned 142 constituencies [1]. The projections indicate that voter sentiment has shifted toward the BJP, a trend that could fundamentally alter the governance of West Bengal.

While some projections suggest a clear path to victory for the BJP, other reports describe the race as a close contest [2]. These varying accounts highlight the volatility of the electorate as the final results await official confirmation.

The BJP has focused its campaign on challenging the administration of Mamata Banerjee. The TMC has sought to maintain its grip on power, though the current projections suggest a possible loss of the majority [1].

Political analysts said that the absence of certain strategic playbooks has raised questions about the TMC's ability to secure a win [2]. The final outcome will depend on the actual vote counts from the 142 constituencies and other regions of the state.

Exit polls project the BJP winning 150-175 seats

A BJP victory in West Bengal would mark a major strategic breakthrough for the party in a state that has historically resisted its influence. If the projections of 150-175 seats are accurate, it would signal a rejection of the TMC's current governance model and potentially shift the balance of power in regional Indian politics.