West Bengal recorded a historic voter turnout in the April 2026 assembly election as exit polls project a tight race between major parties [1, 2].

The results of this election will determine control of the 294-seat assembly [7], signaling a potential shift in power within one of India's most politically volatile states.

Voter participation reached unprecedented levels across the two phases of voting. The first phase saw a turnout of 93.2 percent [1], while the second phase recorded 92.5 percent [1]. Overall turnout across both phases exceeded 92 percent [3]. Early reporting on a voting day noted a 39.97 percent turnout by 11 a.m. [9].

Exit polls released after the conclusion of voting show a split narrative, though several major pollsters suggest the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) holds a slight edge over the Trinamool Congress (TMC) led by Mamata Banerjee [1, 2]. The majority of pollsters project the BJP will secure between 146 and 161 seats [1].

Other projections vary significantly. News24Online estimated the BJP could win between 150 and 175 seats [5]. Conversely, a RepublicWorld poll of polls placed the BJP at 134 seats [6].

To secure a majority in the assembly, a party must reach the mark of 148 seats [8]. While some projections place the BJP above this threshold, the disparity between different pollsters underscores the unpredictability of the final count.

The high voter enthusiasm was driven by intense competition for the 294 seats, prompting significant media focus on the projections as the state awaits official results [1, 3].

West Bengal recorded a historic voter turnout in the April 2026 assembly election

The record-breaking voter turnout indicates a highly polarized and engaged electorate. If the higher-end exit poll projections materialize, the BJP could end the TMC's tenure, marking a significant political realignment in West Bengal. However, the wide range of seat projections—from 134 to 175—suggests that the final result could either be a clear majority or a hung assembly requiring coalition building.