Exit polls suggest the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) could win between 150 and 175 seats [1] in the 2026 West Bengal Assembly election.
A victory of this magnitude would end the long-standing rule of the All India Trinamool Congress (TMC) and Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee (TMC). This shift would represent a significant political realignment in a state that has served as a bastion for the TMC.
The projections follow a series of voting phases, including a second phase that covered 142 constituencies [1]. Polling took place across several districts, including Kolkata, Howrah, Hooghly, Nadia, North and South 24 Parganas, and Purba Bardhaman.
Analysts said rising support for the BJP since the 2021 state election is the primary driver for the projected shift [3]. While some early opinion polls published on April 6, 2026, only suggested the BJP would pose a strong challenge to Banerjee [3], more recent exit data indicates a potential majority.
The BJP campaign, led by national leaders including Prime Minister Narendra Modi (BJP), focused on eroding the TMC's hold on the region. The projected win of 150 to 175 seats [1] would provide the party with a commanding presence in the assembly.
Official results will determine if the exit polls accurately captured the sentiment of the West Bengal electorate. The transition of power would mark one of the most significant electoral upsets in recent Indian state politics.
“BJP projected to win between 150 and 175 seats”
If these projections hold, the result signals a breakdown of the TMC's regional dominance and a successful expansion of the BJP's influence into West Bengal. This shift would likely alter the political landscape of Eastern India and increase the BJP's leverage in national governance by securing a stronghold in a previously resistant state.
