Exit polls for the 2026 West Bengal Assembly election project a potential victory for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) over the incumbent Trinamool Congress (TMC) [1].

These projections indicate a significant political shift in the state, as the BJP could potentially unseat the government led by Mamata Banerjee. A change in leadership would alter the political landscape of one of India's most populous states.

The BJP is projected to win between 150 and 175 seats [2]. This would give the party a majority in the West Bengal Legislative Assembly, which consists of 294 total seats [3]. The election was conducted across two phases [3].

Poll updates were scheduled for 6:30 p.m. local time on the final polling day [4]. While some projections suggest a BJP landslide, other data sources have remained silent. Axis My India said it would not release an exit poll today, citing a lack of voter feedback [4].

The results will determine which party forms the next state government and how it manages the region's administration. The TMC has maintained a strong hold on the state in previous cycles, but these current projections suggest a reversal of that trend [1, 2].

The BJP is projected to win between 150 and 175 seats.

If these projections hold, the transition from the TMC to the BJP would mark a major victory for the BJP in a state that has historically resisted its influence. A majority of 150 to 175 seats would provide the BJP with a stable mandate to implement its policy agenda without the need for a coalition, fundamentally shifting the power balance in eastern India.