Exit poll projections released Wednesday indicate a close contest between the All India Trinamool Congress (TMC) and the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) in West Bengal.
These projections are critical because they suggest a potential shift in the political landscape of the state, where the TMC has historically maintained a strong grip on power. A narrow margin between the two primary parties could lead to a volatile transition or a highly contested government formation.
According to data reported on April 29, 2026, the TMC is projected to win between 177 and 187 seats [1]. This puts the party in a position to potentially retain control of the assembly, though the margin of victory remains slim.
The BJP is projected to secure between 150 and 175 seats [1]. While this represents a significant presence in the assembly, the projections place the party slightly behind the TMC in the race for a majority.
Participation in the election was high. Reports indicate that voter turnout in West Bengal reached 93% [2]. This level of engagement underscores the high stakes for the electorate and the intensity of the political rivalry in the region.
The exit polls serve as an early indicator of the public mood before the official results are tallied. The narrow gap between the TMC and BJP projections suggests that neither party has a definitive mandate, making the final count essential for determining the state's leadership.
“TMC is projected to win between 177 and 187 seats”
The projection of a narrow gap between the TMC and BJP indicates a deeply polarized electorate in West Bengal. With a voter turnout of 93%, the high engagement suggests that the results will be viewed as a definitive mandate by the winning party, but the slim projected margin may lead to challenges regarding the stability of the resulting government.





