Analysts have identified five underdog teams with the best chance to pull off surprises during the FIFA World Cup 2026 Round of 32 [1].
These potential upsets matter because they could shift the tournament's trajectory, removing established powerhouses and elevating lesser-known nations to global prominence.
Among the most anticipated matchups is the clash between Brazil and Japan [3]. While Brazil enters as a favorite, analysts said the match presents a significant opportunity for an upset. The dynamic of the Round of 32 often rewards teams with favorable matchups and high momentum, drawing intense media coverage and fan interest [1, 2].
Other nations, including Belgium, have already shown strong form heading into the knockout stages. Belgium recently secured a five-one win against New Zealand during the group stage [2]. Despite this dominance, the unpredictable nature of the tournament keeps analysts focused on how underdogs may challenge such top-tier teams.
The focus on these five specific teams stems from tactical advantages and the psychological pressure placed on favorites in single-elimination games [1]. As the tournament progresses, the Round of 32 serves as the first critical filter where one mistake can lead to an early exit for a championship contender.
Matchups such as Belgium versus Senegal are also drawing attention as key fixtures to watch following the conclusion of the group stage [2]. The combination of high-scoring potential, and underdog resilience defines the current atmosphere of the competition.
“Analysts have identified five underdog teams with the best chance to pull off surprises.”
The identification of specific upset candidates suggests a narrowing of the competitive gap between traditional soccer powers and emerging nations. If several of these five projected underdogs succeed, it would indicate a shift in global parity and increase the volatility of the tournament's later stages, potentially altering the commercial and sporting expectations for the 2026 event.



